The “Hug-a-Hoodie” follow-up competition
July 30th, 2006
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……and the part 1 winner is ROGER
Last Sunday we launched a small prize competition. People were asked to you use their imagination to guess what will be the next David Cameron policy move after “Hug a Hoodie”
There were two prizes on offer - copies of my book on politics and betting that’s just been commissioned and will be published during 2007.
There were well over 150 entries and after much deep consideration I have decided to award the prize in the first category to Roger.
I very much liked his post 57 “All Public schools to become Faith Schools. Eton to become Jewish seminary. Known as Mazel-toffs”.
But the one which amused me most and just had the right feel about it was post 65: “Gypsies to be the new environmental roll models. All towns and villages to provide parking space for travellers caravans free. Special dedicated parking space for Caravans in HOC car-park. All councils objecting to be fined heavily. Campaign to be known as “Let a Gyp kip””
Congratulations Roger and your prize will be sent to you as soon as the book is published.
Mike Smithson
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Must say (ruefully) that Roger’s were brilliant by far
The best man definitely won…
“Campaign to be known as “Let a Gyp kip”
Does this mean by extension that we must let Margaret Beckett zoom off over Europe in her Camper and not be molested by the press over the Middle East?
Zebidee - I’ve got a great caravan pic for the front page tomorrow - but not the Foreign Secretary’s
1 John O. Indeed … well worth salting away for a future script !
Congrats Roger ….. I suppose that’s another Lib Dem gain then !
Daft competition won by a daft contributor. How very fitting.
5 Interested Observer. Daft and not especially interesting observation.
Thanks Interested Observer! I’ll look forward to reading the book Mike. Surely the caravan picture is a mock-up? Could Michael Howard have missed the chance of that on a 48 sheet with the simple line “are you thinking what we’re thinking”!
7 Well done Roger deserved winner and you never know truth may prove stranger than fiction .
Congratuationa,Roger;I thought of ‘Cuddle a Chav’ but it ddi’nt scan,so I did’nt submit it
3 Mike, just as long as it’s not John Prescott’s (he is doing the ‘Grand Tour’ (or is it the ten grand Tour?) isn’t he?) - will he be subject to test*sterone checks or does he just wear loud shirts?. I trust the good burghers of our nation would then point to Labour’s failure to maintain adequate laws relating to traveller’s sites and maybe land him a quick blow without ‘Trace’ in the temples?
Talking of which, I have noticed that the former Westminster Poly are now being provided with press services courtesy of the UK taxpayers. Is it just me or would any other civil servant who had just stuffed her handbag with notes from the street of shame, for a blow-by-blow account of how she and the man over her got down deep and dirty in the firm’s time and on the firm’s premises with the door open, be given the **m’s rush? Indeed, might one not consider the fate of a Permanent Secretary in the Civil Service who was the purported recipient of such favours and who failed to send out an immediate writ of denial, had such a story appeared in the national media. Would he not be subject to the most serious investigation and disciplinary action, be sent on gardening leave while he was being investigated and then suffer a complete loss of pension if found guilty. Perhaps the rules are different in government? Does Blair’s party favours ‘beating about the Bush’ rather than coming straight to the point?
Congratulation Roger!
My present for you:
http://www.gwynethdunwoody.co.uk/Page%20-%20Picture%20Gallery2.htm
11 Andrea. That’s some one-arm bandit Andrea … one might only wonder what comes out the other end !
I see she is waiting for John Prescott’s tour to pass her way - Gwynneth will ‘charge’ him if no one else will! She thinks he needs taking to task on current affairs!
yawn
all this gypsy and chav baiting rubbish does you lot a disservice.
Stonch @ 14: On your definition, what is a chav? This is a genuine question: I’d never even heard the word until last year, and since then I’ve seen numerous — I won’t say definitions of, but assumptions about, the meaning. (The same point might be made about “gypsies”, but I know some of the Roma, so I have a better idea.)
Mori poll in tomorrow’s Financial Times:-
Conservatives: 36% (no change)
Labour: 32% (down 1%)
LibDems: 24% (up 3%)
Ming’s foreign affairs expertise beginning to pay dividends?
67% of respondents dissatisfied with the way Blair is handling his job.
16. A good poll for the Libdems.
Not heart-shaking for the main parties. The tories can be pleased to be ahead and Labour is down, but not too down.
16 - Good poll for the Lib Dems. Pity that it’s Mori…
15 - some idiot above used the expression chav at 9 ask him to define that. The moderator used the expression gypsy, ask him to define that. Get off my back.
Well done, Roger.
Many of your posts on Cameron have made me laugh. And I share your heart-felt outrage at events in South Lebanon.
Well it’s MORI (enough said) but the middle east will be starting to play a part. Ming needs to be stronger and more forthright in his condmenation of Blair in my opinion but he’s going in the right direction. Cameron could well have profited if he’d given Hague free reign but, as usual, it’s fear of the far right that hobbles the conservative party.
Noteable when reading comments on Iain Dale’s blog how the pro-Israel lobby are almost always the destroy all immigrants lobby as well. Now how does that work? It’s the same as wanting sovereignty separate from Europe but being blithely happy to kowtow to US policy instead. One would hope that Cameron has more of an idea about joined up thinking than that crowd.
free rein, not free reign…..
My typing, as usual, is nothing to write home about either…..
If that poll is correct,it is excellent for the LDs.
And I read that Charles K is re-entering public life, which I think is good news for politics as a whole (even if you don’t always agree with him). In fact, in my opinion it is also good news for the saintly Ming, because it will continue to broaden the appeal of the LDs, and when Kennedy is in the right frame of mind he is a superb electoral asset
16 RMC. Very good poll for the Lib Dems, with not much movement for Labour and the Tories. Perhaps the Lebanon effect although the YouGov detected little.
24 - More likely to be one of their wild gyrations than anything substantial, Jack. At least that is what the Lib Dems say when Mori produces a good poll for the Tories…
Not sure why people are slating Mori so much . If you looked at the figures I gave on the ICM thread the other day their record over the last 18 months before the last GE was better than ICM .
26. Mark, Mori is quite volatile. And I think it’s difficult to judge a pollster’s record over a 18 months period. Polls show how people would vote that day (not after 18 months), so when a poll is taken 6 months before a GE, comparing it with the GE can be mislading. Maybe it produced a different result, but accurate because people that day would have voted in a different way.
To my understanding , a ‘chav’ is:
(a)(Usually-not always) from a council estate
(b)They have been grossly spoilt by their parents
(c)They wear designer labels;often a single gold (left) earing
(d)If a car-owner,they drive something unspeakably naff and tacky,like a white Escort XR3i,balring shit music
(e)Forgive my crudity,chavs make me wish Auchswitz was open as a place to get rid of them!!!!!!!!!!!
Mark - IIRC the figures you gave on the other thread the other day were the averages of the polls gave over a period. Over time MORI’s figures aren’t out of line with other pollsters figures (though they could be - there’s no iron law that the effect of not weighting politically and filtering very harshly by likelihood to vote should cancel each other out, they just have so far), they are just far more volatile.
Over time MORI’s figures are fine, but their individual polls are far more variable so one should probably read less into the movements of a single MORI poll than the movements in a single ICM poll (though it’s probably wise not to read too much into the movements of any single poll, whoever did it).
Andrea that was not the point of Mikes thread the other day and although Mori were a little more volatile than ICM their results compared favourably .
28 - Don’t they usually have an A-level in economics too, Patrick?
30. Mark, it depends on if you think that voters are generally “stable” or if they change mind quite often.
29 Not reading too much into 1 poll Anthony but ICM too had quite a strong filter based on likelihood to vote .
31,Good evening,Mr.Matlock,I trust you are well.In answer to your question,I feel we both know the answer-at this juncture,I admt my post was a little fruity-I shall bid you good night for now.
34 - Goodnight, Patrick.
Good poll for us, but all movements within margin of error. (And Lib Dem increase I assume is at the expense of ‘Others’ given Labour and Tories more or less unchanged.)
Making anything out of any one poll is a fool’s errand, as most of the newspapers prove whenever they big-up their own monthly polls to justify the expense of commissioning them. Looking at trends, the only sensible thing to do, just ain’t their thing.
I agree Andrea , I think post Iraq till the GE was pretty stable and I think things have been pretty stable since May though it could be that Lebanon may mark a sea change but it is too early to tell .
Excellent poll for the Libdems.
Ming’s style of leadership will slowly start to trickle through in to the polls. He is distintive and very much different from the other two party leaders.
The Libdems must stop their mutterings and let him serve as leader into the next election. Only then will they really realise how much of an electoral asset he really is.
This poll will allow the Lib Dems to jump up and down and get themselves all excited, and maybe do some pretty bar charts showing how they now rule the world. But the problem is that however righteous Sir Menzies is over Lebanon (and I personally think he is right on this) it ain’t getting across on the street. For far too many people this isn’t an issue that excites them, mainly because it isn’t happening to them. The biggest concerns are still health and education. Those people that are going to vote Lib Dem because of Sir Menzies’ line on Lebanon were probably already voting Lib Dem because of the Iraq war. So I don’t see this changing much.
I am slightly concerned however that we are not making consistent progress on increasing our lead. Whilst Labour is backing off, with DC not making any pronouncements on Lebanon and Israel (presumably because he can’t get the shadow cabinet to agree a line) we are not in the headlines and consequently we are not progressing.
BTW did any other Tories on here puke over their breakfast when reading Michael Portillo’s article praising Francis Maude…? What does the guy have to do for people to realise he is now despised by vast sections of the voluntary party, yes that’s the bit he’s supposed to be co-ordinating!
For those not in the ‘know’…
http://www.chavscum.co.uk/
…for all that is chav-dom…
29:
ICM’s is far less harsh. MORI include only those who say they are 10/10 certain to vote. ICM include those people, but also include everyone else, weighted down proportionally to how likely they say they are to vote, i.e. someone who says they are 9/10 likely to vote is given a weighting of 0.90, someone who puts their changes of voting at 8/10 is given a weighting of 0.8 and so on.
To get an idea of why this makes MORI more volatile, imagine that one month 100 people told MORI and ICM they were 10/10 certain to vote Lib Dem, and the next month 100 people told MORI and ICM they were 9/10 certain to vote. Using MORI’s methodology the Lib Dem’s support would drop by 100% that month, using ICM’s it would drop by 10%.
Breakfast before 3.33AM Ben? Your’re not a lap-dancer are you?