Is the change down to more than my post?

When I posted my call on the election at 3am this morning I sort of expected that there could be some movement on the Labour leadership markets but nothing on the scale of what has happened.

The prices seem an almost exact mirror image of what they were last night but with a different Miliband in the favourite slot.

The question I’m trying to answer is whether the prices are being driven by more than the views of a blogger. Is there some information out there?

I don’t have an answer. For assuming that the Electoral Reform Society Services is operating the count with its usual secrecy the only hard information could have come from the MP section. Both Miliband teams have been in close personal contact with all involved and both must have a pretty clear view of how what’s happening.

Mike Smithson