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Day: 4 April 2005

Will the postal voting fraud case affect the election?

Will the postal voting fraud case affect the election?

Could Labour suffer after the judge’s stinging attack on minsters? The judge in the postal vote-rigging trial has strongly attacked the government’s attitude to the problem accusing minsters of being not only complacent, but “in denial” about the failings of the system. According to BBC Online Richard Mawrey QC was speaking as he ruled there had been “widespread fraud” in six Birmingham council seats won last year by Labour and his comments come as more voters than ever are preparing…

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YouGov – Labour averaging 36% since the start of the year

YouGov – Labour averaging 36% since the start of the year

Does the Telegraph’s survey tell us anything we don’t know? Under the undramatic headline “Election campaign starts tomorrow but swing to Tories will not oust Blair” unusual polling results of a YouGov online survey of nearly 22,000 people since the beginning of the year are featured in the Telegraph this morning. Unlike normal polls which have a very tightly defined survey time but a much smaller sample this covers a very large number of people over a long period. The…

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Camapaign Countdown April 4th

Camapaign Countdown April 4th

Will punters be more accurate than the pundits or the pollsters? Each day here during the campaign Politicalbetting will take the average mid-point Labour price from the two spread markets that we feature and project a General Election result based entirely on how political gamblers are risking their money. It will be interesting to see whether the balance of money being risked is a more accurate predictor of the result than the opinion polls or other forecasting methodolgies. For while…

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