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YouGov marginals poll suggests Tory majority of 54

October 22nd, 2008

A new YouGov poll of 60 marginal seats where Labour’s majority was between 6% and 14% suggests that there’s been a significant move to the government in the past month.

In September the poll projected an overall Tory majority of 110 seats – today’s survey puts that down to 54 seats.

The actual voting shares in the poll have the Tory lead at 5% – but remember the seats polls were all solidly Labour last time.

The poll was carried out by YouGov for Channel 4 – see here

My analysis of the poll for Channel 4 News is here.

My apologies for the site going down during the mass of extra traffic during PMQs. We will be putting news measures in place next week, and of course on US election night, to help ensure that we keep going.

In the meantime there is an emergency site to go to when we have problems – take a note of it – http://politicalbetting.blogspot.com/

Mike Smithson






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