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The PB General Election Prediction Survey

March 18th, 2009

What’s the collective view of PB?

Please “vote” in each section and submit separately. This will close at 1800 GMT tomorrow (Thursday).

Although, of course, this a voodoo poll these can be quite fun and should provide an indication of what the PB community, at least, thinks is going to happen.

Who’ll still be there as party leaders on election day?
Cameron:Brown:Clegg
Cameron:Brown
Cameron:Clegg
Brown:Clegg
Only Cameron
Only Brown
Only Clegg
None of them
  
What do you think the outcome of the next UK General Election will be?
A Labour overall majority
A hung parliament with Labour having the most seats
A hung parliament with the Conservatives having the most seats
A Conservative overall majority of 1 – 25 seats
A Conservative overall majority of 26-50 seats
A Conservative overall majority of 51-75 seats
A Conservative overall majority of 76 -100 seats
A Conservative overall majority of more than 100 seats
  
How many seats do you think that the Conservatives will get?
0-200
201 – 250
251 – 300
301 – 325
326 – 350
351 – 375
376 – 400
401 – 649
  
How many seats do you think that Labour will get?
0 – 150
151 – 200
201 – 225
226 – 250
251 – 275
276 – 300
301 – 325
326 – 649
  
How many seats do you think that the Liberal Democrats will get?
0 – 25
26 – 30
31 – 35
36 – 40
41 – 45
46 – 50
51 – 55
56 – 60
61 – 649 seats
  
What do you think the Conservative national vote share (excluding NI) will be?
0% – 37.9%
38% – 39.9%
40% – 41.9%
42% – 43.9%
44% – 45.9%
46% – 100%
  
What do you think the Labour national vote share (excluding NI) will be?
0% – 27.9%
28% – 29.9%
30%-31.9%
32% – 33.9%
34% – 35.9%
36% – 100%
  
What do you think the Liberal Democrats’ national vote share (excluding NI) will be?
0% – 13.9%
14% – 15.9%
16% – 17.9%
18% – 19.9%
20% – 21.9%
22% – 100%
  
Which pollster, based on the final survey, will be most accurate?
Ipsos-MORI
ICM
YouGov
Populus
ComRes
  

Comment management As some will have noticed we are introducing a comment edit facility so that users can make changes for a short period after their comment has been published.

The software that we’ve installed also makes it much much easier for comments to be managed. Thus deleting a comment used to take five clicks. Now we can put something straight into moderation from the main thread with just one click. So if there’s any doubt about anything or we can act much quicker.






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