Scottish leader ratings from Ipsos – not good for Rishi

Scottish leader ratings from Ipsos – not good for Rishi

And Sturgeon gets worst numbers ever A Scotland-only poll is quite rare and we have a new one from Ipsos. The main leader ratings are featured in their charts above. I really do like the way that these days pollsters are working very hard at finding different ways of presenting their findings and that the above one is a case in point. While 43% of the public have a favourable opinion of Nicola Sturgeon, an identical proportion – 43% –…

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This looks better for Starmer than Sunak

This looks better for Starmer than Sunak

I quite like polling charts like the above one because it does break down a lot of the perceptions about the two leaders who dominate our politics. Some of the elements are clearly better for the incumbent Prime Minister like getting on with foreign leaders while others are bound to fit more comfortably his main opponent. The fact that Starmer leads by a little bit on most of the characteristics really reflects what we seeing the approval ratings. Is interesting…

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The pressure mounts on Biden not to run in WH2024

The pressure mounts on Biden not to run in WH2024

His gaffes are becoming a big issue It does not take long searching on YouTube to find compilation videos like the one above showing gaffes by 80 year old Joe Biden. As we look forward to WH2024 the incumbent’s age is becoming the big issue. With the President due to make his state of the Union address this evening there’s new polling out which suggests that his hopes of serving a second term are not being welcomed by Democrat voters….

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Truss would stand a good chance of winning another member’s ballot

Truss would stand a good chance of winning another member’s ballot

One of the great strengths that Liz Trust has is her popularity with the Conservative membership. This was seen in the months and years leading up to the July-September 2022 leadership election when she regularly topped the monthly Conservative Home survey of the most favoured Cabinet ministers. If there was to be another ballot, and it’s far from certain that will be the case, it is probably best to assume that she would have similar levels of support. In the…

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LAB moves to biggest R&W lead since Sunak became PM

LAB moves to biggest R&W lead since Sunak became PM

Deltapoll has it at 18% Even though there is a big difference in the polling lead from the two surveys out this afternoon the message is the same – the Tories have a mountain to climb if they are to get into striking distance from LAB at the general election. Still the big thing that Sunak has on his side is time and he has the sole decision on what the election date will be. Given the state of polls…

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Will Sunak be able to hold his line against the strikers?

Will Sunak be able to hold his line against the strikers?

This is by far the biggest day of industrial action that we have seen in the NHS since it’s foundation nearly 70 years ago. The issue, like with the other big public areas where action is taking place, is the unions are not wanting to accept a pay increase that does not match inflation. They argue that to do otherwise would be accepting what is a pay cut. Sunak has been very firm about his resolution to fight these demands….

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How many Prime Ministers until Christmas?

How many Prime Ministers until Christmas?

The Tory Party are determined to make AD 193 look like a year of strong and stable leadership. The Telegraph article seems to suggest Sunak could be ousted if the local elections are dire for the Tories and would lead to a rule change in when a vote of confidence can be triggered. I actually think the maximum risk for Sunak will be if the Privileges Committee inquiry into Boris Johnson and partygate recommends suspending Boris Johnson from the Commons…

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